Víctor Sancibrián
Ph.D. student in Economics, CEMFI
Víctor Sancibrián
CEMFI
5, Calle Casado del Alisal
28014 Madrid
Welcome! I am a Ph.D. student in Economics at CEMFI. I am available for interviews on the 2024-2025 job market.
My primary research interests are in econometrics, with a focus on panel data methods. I am interested in applications that emphasize heterogeneity and use micro data to answer macro questions. My advisor is Manuel Arellano.
CV

Job Market Paper

Estimation uncertainty in repeated finite populations

Abstract  Draft 

Standard errors need to be adjusted down when the sample is a large fraction of the population of interest (a finite population setup). I consider the empirically relevant case where a finite population coexists with a measurement problem, in that the features of interest are not necessarily observable even if the entire population is sampled. I show that conventional standard errors remain generally conservative in this context and propose Finite Population Corrections (FPCs) that guarantee non-conservative inference when repeated measurements are available. FPCs rely on weak dependence across measurements and are very simple to implement. I apply these methods to two empirical settings where uncertainty has been previously understood in different ways: predicting lethal encounters with police using data on all U.S. police departments, and studying firm misallocation with a census of large Indonesian firms. Finite-population inference leads to confidence intervals that are up to 50% shorter in the former and illustrates the need to account for measurement uncertainty in the latter.

Working papers

Micro responses to macro shocks

w/ Martín Almuzara (submitted)
Abstract  Draft  Supplement  Slides (NBER SI)  Code

Estimating flexible income processes from subjective expectations data: evidence from India and Colombia

w/ Manuel Arellano, Orazio Attanasio and Sam Crossman (submitted)
Abstract  Draft  NBER version  Slides  Code

Work in progress

Heterogeneity in impulse response functions

w/ Martín Almuzara
Abstract  Slides 

How fixed are fixed-effects? Evidence from the Spanish labor market

Abstract 

Teaching

Graduate (at CEMFI):
Undergraduate (at Universidad de Cantabria):
  • Microeconomics (TA)  —  2015, 2016, 2017